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Preview: Ireland v South Africa

05th November 2010 07:49

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Zane Kirchner

Kirchner: Will he sink or swim?

World champions South Africa will enter Saturday's first ever Test at the new Aviva Stadium against Ireland as slight underdogs when the two sides clash in Dublin.

The Irish will want to open their new home with a win over an injury-hit Springbok side, whose end-of-year tour looks destined for failure before it's even kicked off.

South Africa arrive in the Emerald Isle with just one win in six games, a coach under instruction to improve results and one of the most untried centre pairing in recent Springbok memory. On top of that, they are missing 13 key players, including captain John Smit, who are all injured.

To make matters worse, Ireland have had the wood on the men in green and gold in the last decade - South Africa's last win over their northern hemisphere counterparts coming six years ago (2004) in Cape Town, and you have to go back to 2000 for the last Bok win in Guinness country.

South Africa's five-match trip is crucial for coach Peter de Villiers to restore his employers' faith in him after a disastrous Tri-Nations title defence, where South Africa conceded 22 tries in one of their worst campaigns in the tournament's 15-year history.

The poor results have left a dark cloud hovering over De Villiers with most pundits adamant the coach must go if he does not deliver at least two Test victories this month.

And whilst De Villiers' quest to make amends has been hampered by a long casualty list, the truth of the matter is that South Africa failed to produce the goods when they were at full-strength which will be a concern for Bok fans.

However, this Grand Slam tour posts more than just the obvious challenge of De Villiers' team beating all four home nations in one go. Torn between achieving a Grand Slam for the first time since 1961 and taking measures to ensure SA have the best chance of defending their crown at next year's World Cup, the Bok coach must now use these four games as a fact-finding mission to get his cards in order for New Zealand 2011.

And if the Bok line-up chosen to tackle the Irish on Saturday is anything to go by, then De Villiers may be heading in the same direction as his predecessor Jake White who took a beating at the old Lansdowne Road one year out from winning the wee yellow cup.

In fact, the similarities then and now are quite incredible.

In 2006, White took a depleted side overseas with an up and coming star in the form of Francois Steyn - a 19-year old Sharks pivot who made his Bok debut out of position on the wing. Wing Bryan Habana filled in at centre, with another debutant at the back (Bevan Fortuin) to complete an inexperienced backline.

Fast forward four years and De Villiers has taken a dwindling side overseas with an up and coming star in the making in the form of Patrick Lambie - a 20-year old Sharks fly-half who is set to make his debut off the bench out of position at inside centre. Full-back Zane Kirchner will fill in at centre, with newbie Bjorn Basson starting just his second game out wide.

And if the final scoreline is to follow suit too - the Boks are in for a hiding.

Indeed, Irish eyes will certainly be smiling at the thought of knocking down their visitors down a peg or two.

Ireland are looking to halt a three-Test losing streak that goes back to the final match of this year's Six Nations, a surprise home defeat against Scotland.

It is in stark contrast to Ireland's fortunes a year ago, when they entered the November Tests as Grand Slam champions before going on to draw with Australia and beat the Springboks.

And with the World Cup now less than 12 months away, Ireland will be well aware that they cannot afford to be extend the current sequence of defeats much further.

However, Ireland are targeting a fourth successive victory over South Africa and they no longer enter the fixture with trepidation.

Adding extra motivation to continue their dominance is their determination to sound a triumphant note on their debut appearance at the redeveloped Lansdowne Road.

"It will be physical. An international is like a final because both sides want to get that win under their belt," said Ireland coach Declan Kidney.

"The physicality will be huge and it means a huge amount to be back at Lansdowne Road.

"This is like coming home and it's hugely special to be a part of that.

"It's the oldest international ground in the world and that's a huge sentence to say."

Ones to watch:

For Ireland: With a Bok backline just waiting to be exposed, expect Irish backs to take full advantage, with Tommy Bowe in the form of his life and the returning Luke Fitzgerald lining up for his first Test appearance in a year and who will have a lot of lost time to make for.

For South Africa: Will he sink or swim? Zane Kirchner has stolen the limelight somewhat from possible debutant Patrick Lambie, but for all the wrong reasons. The Bulls star didn't exactly set the world alight in the number fifteen jersey for South Africa, and didn't even make the original training or touring squad until injuries opened up the door. It's a risky move and one that's set for failure with specialist centre in the form of Adi Jacobs - albeit lacking match-fitness - sitting on the bench.

Head to head: The two packs. South Africa's only hope of winning this one will rely on their forward power and keeping the ball away from the Irish backs who will be just itching to pounce! Deon Stegmann has been picked to counter the ball-poaching proficiency of Ireland fetcher David Wallace, and the old heads of Victor Matfield and Bakkies Botha will be tasked with doing the business in the air - an area the Boks failed miserably at against Ireland's tall timber last time out.

Previous results:
2009: Ireland won 15-10 at Croke Park, Dublin
2006: Ireland won 32-15 at Lansdowne Road
2004: Ireland won 17-12 at Lansdowne Road
2004: South Africa won 26-17 at Newlands
2004: South Africa won 31-17 at Vodacom Park, Bloemfontein
2000: South Africa won 28-18 at Lansdowne Road
1998: South Africa won 27-13 at Lansdowne Road
1998: South Africa won 33-0 at Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
1998: South Africa won 37-13 at Vodacom Park, Bloemfontein

Prediction: We just can't see a Springbok side devoid of form and established combinations ending a 10-year losing streak in Dublin. Ireland to win by ten points.

The teams:

Ireland: 15 Rob Kearney, 14 Tommy Bowe, 13 Brian O'Driscoll (c), 12 Gordon D'Arcy, 11 Luke Fitzgerald, 10 Jonathan Sexton, 9 Eoin Reddan, 8 Jamie Heaslip, 7 David Wallace, 6 Stephen Ferris, 5 Mick O'Driscoll, 4 Donncha O'Callaghan, 3 Tony Buckley, 2 Rory Best, 1 Cian Healy.
Replacements: 16 Sean Cronin, 17 Tom Court, 18 Donncha Ryan, 19 Denis Leamy, 20 Peter Stringer, 21 Ronan O'Gara, 22 Keith Earls.

South Africa: 15 Gio Aplon, 14 Bjorn Basson, 13 Zane Kirchner, 12 Jean de Villiers, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Morné Steyn, 9 Ruan Pienaar, 8 Pierre Spies, 7 Juan Smith, 6 Deon Stegmann, 5 Victor Matfield (c), 4 Bakkies Botha, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Replacements: 16 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17 CJ van der Linde, 18 Flip van der Merwe, 19 Keegan Daniel, 20 François Hougaard, 21 Adi Jacobs, 22 Patrick Lambie.

Date: Saturday, 6 November
Venue: Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Kick-off: 17:30 GMT
Weather forecast: A high of 9°C and a northwester of 28 km/h, 20 per cent chance of rain. The temperature is set to drop to 2°C, -2°C with windchill.
Referee: Nigel Owens (Wales)
Assistant referees: Bryce Lawrence (New Zealand), Keith Brown (New Zealand)
TMO: Hugh Watkins (Wales)

By Dave Morris

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Comments

zambokke says...

@ Trinats; 3 games and 3 wins for Ireland on Irish soil since 2004 - you make the decade sound as though there has been a game every year. Arguably one of these three wins was against a full (ish) strength Sprinbok side. You may win this game too as we have 13 players injured. Playing against weakened side on your own turf with favourable refs often at he end of a season, doesn't give you an bragging rights. Win the World Cup and then everyone will respect you!!

Posted 13:50 06th November 2010

whatisthis says...

I cant see where everyone sees such an understrength bok side. The pack is first choice bar steggman and plessis at tighthead. Its actually a good thing the weather is that little bit damper and the ground a little softer. Spies and Steggman are incredibly quick and dynamic and this will hopefully slow them down and force them to do more donkey work. As for buckley, he is far too tall for a prop. 6' 5''. Irelands scrum and lineout will suffer today.

I don't share others optimism for ireland. As was said previously, this game is going to be decided on penalties and its up to both sets of forwards to win those penalties. I can see ireland conceding a lot of penalties in the scrum.

Ireland's best chance, despite being awful to watch, will be having a good kick-chase game and reign balls down on the back three of SA, and hopefully they will get some pens this way and scrape home...

Posted 10:21 06th November 2010

zambokke says...

How can you (article) say that SA failed to win even when they were at full strength this year? I would say that we are not at full strength until we have Fourie du Preez (our general) and Heinrich Broussouw (best flanker in theworld along with McCaw and Pocock) back in the frame. It is the same impact as NZ playing without McCaw and Carter. When we are at full strength (RWC 2012), Fourie du Preez and Brussouw will be back, JP Pietersen, Jean de Villiers, Jacque Fourie, Frans Steyn will all be back and playing in position.

Posted 08:57 06th November 2010

maorihill says...

SO looking forward to forward struggle. Will the Irish frontrow survive? Callaghan-O'Driscoll weak in comparison to Bakkies and Matfield. The backrow struggle should be cracker. If Ireland get any ball, their backs, even the geriatric pairing in the centres, should do enough to win. Ireland bad better get used to playing the Boks, next encounter, quarter final in the RWC!

Posted 05:20 06th November 2010

Trinats says...

A full strength saffa team haven't beaten them in 10 years in Dublin, this team doesn't stand a chance. Any odds on Botha getting a yellow?

Posted 21:51 05th November 2010

Bokswillprevail says...

PDiV must now opt for Adi instead of Kirchner. At the very least, they know what to do defensively, head on, versus Kirchner who as a fullback does not. From an attacking pov, it makes no diffs save for the painfull tackle Kirchner will get initially b4 he realises he has less time. Not a terrible team (better than last year), assuming PDiV now addresses midfield.

Posted 21:36 05th November 2010

bcrugby913 says...

i hope de villiers realizes that JDV could probably start at centre instead of putting kirchner in there, that backline should go 9. pienaar 10. m. steyn 11. habana 12. jacobs 13. de villiers 14. basson/mvovo 15. lambie

Posted 20:41 05th November 2010

marko72 says...

Ireland would be better advised to worry about the Donkey twins against the Matfield - Botha Axis, the premier lineout combo in the world, and a not too shabby scrum, certainly superior to the Irish one.

These are the World Champs for heaven's sake and such unbridled arrogance does not sit well on Irish shoulders. Such talk has already gifted them a 9 point lead, and if the weather turns up, then this might be decided on penalties.

Posted 16:57 05th November 2010

vuvuzela4eva says...

Only thing I am worried about is Bok discipline. I think Bakkies has finally learnt his lesson and will now hopefully get on with the business of rugby and not bullying. Stegmann and Bismarch must avoid giving away unnecessary penalties -especially in the first 20 min. Discipline MUST NOT put this team on the back foot. If they can do this -the opportunities will appear -and who knows -a spark from Habana could bring on the fireworks. Go Bokke !

Posted 16:01 05th November 2010

brazilrugger says...

i am surprised people think this is such a weak SA side. Its true te Boks havent won there for 10 years, but look at the last 10 matches. I wont be surprised at all if the yw in and NZ lose! But here's hoping both win :)

Posted 14:32 05th November 2010

welpie says...

@boysinblue - Stegmann is a specialist flanker, similar mould as Brussouw. He should have toured last year already if you ask me

The Boks' forward pack looks very strong, if they fire I think Ireland might be in for a surprise so never mind the backline...

Posted 14:07 05th November 2010

andrewinkorea says...

Your weather prediction is not looking good. Fears of hurricane to hit Ireland this evening. If this happens, then Ireland will not be able to play the wide, expanisve game they need to beat the Boks. If it's a mudfest, Bokke to win. Just been watching highlights of 2006 on YouTube. Ireland savaged the Saffer midfield of de Villiers and Habana that night. If the weather holds, we'll need to do the same, especially with Kirchner there. We have a running fly half and a back line brimming with confidence. If it stays dry and the wind doesn't get up (as it always did in LR), then Ireland will take this by 10. All bets are off if the hurricane arrives

Posted 13:30 05th November 2010

bliksem says...

It really hurts to say this, but I can't see the Boks getting close. Our pack will probably only have parity with the Irish pack, which leaves a lot of ball for the Irish backs to run us ragged. Poor Kirchner is gonna get murdered by BOD. Irish to win by 10+ :-(

Posted 13:20 05th November 2010

countryboy says...

Happy for the Boks to lose if also results in RWC champs next year. Sadly under PDV I suspect a big loss to Ireland and a dismal RWC is all we're likely to see....

Posted 11:23 05th November 2010

boysinblue says...

1-13 the springboks are very strong and experienced, apart from the new 7 who I don't know much about. What kind of player is he anyone? Ball carrier? fetcher? I'd expect Sexton to try and give the full back and right winger the run around with lots of kicks between the 2 of them. Boks pack looks very strong and our front five is a little light weight, so definitely advantage to SA there, but if Ireland can get parity up front i'd expect them to win by maybe 7-10 points. Lots of great match ups here, O'Callaghan V Bakkies, Heaslip V Spies & Bowe V Habana, but I'm especially looking forward to seeing how Buckley gets on against the Beast, who tends to do well against tall props, and they don't come much taller than Buckley! If Buckley gets through this with his reputation enhanced he's a shoe in at tight head up until the world cup

Posted 10:53 05th November 2010

IssHell says...

Erin go Bragh!!!

Posted 10:51 05th November 2010

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